Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 181.953481 210.588492 243.326204 283.754860 332.654907 390.288786 463.947709
2025-08-31 141.972915 177.560517 222.351599 283.722819 366.979454 478.004831 640.750675
2025-09-07 121.020877 159.516926 211.281206 287.639331 400.333117 565.436950 835.338894
2025-09-14 102.132479 139.828101 193.026963 275.954501 406.509849 612.508318 980.608860
2025-09-21 91.081900 128.914956 184.639722 275.931665 428.446911 686.499470 1189.211876
2025-09-28 82.938029 120.868060 178.891942 278.302544 453.680367 770.510394 1441.439445
2025-10-05 79.508300 119.360066 182.734616 296.489464 509.102118 921.470455 1880.027944
2025-10-12 75.970558 117.116449 184.876744 311.801572 562.148927 1081.731075 2405.544864
2025-10-19 70.117239 110.341289 178.416674 310.306946 581.952684 1177.948696 2818.716864
2025-10-26 66.660349 107.173595 177.727002 319.394387 625.079219 1337.874206 3479.157185
2025-11-02 62.907362 103.061726 174.779355 323.462228 658.118930 1483.669774 4178.409266
2025-11-09 59.310261 98.844085 171.101131 325.386714 686.636800 1626.858628 4955.702675
2025-11-16 55.010907 93.341570 165.128506 323.315496 709.867802 1777.175531 5920.974821
2025-11-23 51.333629 88.678841 160.352827 323.420563 739.810391 1963.047678 7211.343868
2025-11-30 48.530726 85.353808 157.785519 328.017624 782.860265 2209.177554 9032.863596
2025-12-07 44.352903 78.945582 148.122022 314.318345 772.393569 2275.790573 10054.870153
2025-12-14 41.821977 75.543498 144.364330 314.291593 801.324194 2495.682123 12217.730864
2025-12-21 39.767984 72.896179 141.901078 317.069606 839.672361 2772.051073 15174.444725
2025-12-28 39.269208 73.369112 146.319205 338.406660 943.165396 3374.546350 21703.677778
2026-01-04 38.501180 73.193817 149.246492 356.406918 1042.519518 4033.546537 30602.234726
2026-01-11 36.507306 70.211879 145.318113 354.648490 1072.483821 4384.720865 37578.147942
2026-01-18 35.418963 69.098240 145.684643 365.344493 1152.474765 5060.967423 51167.112799
2026-01-25 34.067352 67.280502 144.137745 370.135934 1211.993431 5678.074653 67174.110922